Financial Integration

October, Friday 28th | 9:15-10:45 hs

Contributed Session CS9

Room 32

 
Chair: Enisse Kharroubi, Banque de France
 
 

 

International Financial Integration through the Law of One Price

 

 

 

Session: Financial Integration

 

 

Presenter

Neeltje Van Horen, University of Amsterdam

 

 

Author(s)

Neeltje Van Horen, University of Amsterdam

Eduardo Levy Yeyati, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella

Sergio Schmukler, The World Bank

 

 

 

 

This paper argues that the cross-market premium (the ratio between domestic and international prices of cross-listed stocks) provides a valuable measure of international financial integration. Applying Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) models, we find evidence of narrow non-arbitrage bands and rapid price convergence. Moreover, we find that integration increases with stock liquidity, that capital controls segment markets, and that crises are associated with higher volatility, not weaker integration

 

 

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Financial (Des)Integration

 

 

 

Session: Financial Integration

 

 

Presenter

Enisse Kharroubi, Banque de France

 

 

Author(s)

Enisse Kharroubi, Banque de France

 

 

 

 

This paper addresses the impact of international financial integration. If firms can borrow from domestic and foreign lenders, domestic loans act as collateral to foreign lenders. However, integration raises competition and this reduces domestic lenders profits. Then if domestic lenders cannot face foreign competition, then domestic and foreign lenders capital supplies shrink and the economy falls in a credit crunch situation.

 

 

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Backus-Smith Puzzle: There is a Role for Expectations?

 

 

 

Session: Financial Integration

 

 

Presenter

Luis Opazo, Georgetown University

 

 

Author(s)

Luis Opazo, Georgetown University

 

 

Sponsor

The American University of Paris Scholarship

 

 

 

 

This paper provides a quantitative explanation of the Backus-Smith puzzle (negative correlation consumption-real exchange rate).To account for this anomaly, the paper develops a model with signals about future productivity shocks.The logic is that current positive signals generate a higher expected wealth, therefore, agents increase their consumption without necessarily a higher output in that period and this gap leads to an appreciation

 

 

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Changes in Emerging Market Volatility and Outliers: Revisiting the Effects of Financial Liberalizations

 

 

 

Session: Financial Integration

 

 

Presenter

Fernando Perez de Gracia, Universidad de Navarra

 

 

Author(s)

Fernando Perez de Gracia, Universidad de Navarra

Javier Gómez Biscarri, IESE, Universidad de Navarra

Juncal Cuñado Eizaguirre, Universidad de Navarra

 

 

 

 

In this paper we test whether stock market volatility in six emerging economies has changed significantly over the period 1976:01-2002:03. We use outlier detection methodologies as starting point of the analysis and as a filtering device. Our analysis suggests, first, that outlier detection may be a useful first step for volatility breakpoint analyis, and, second, that changes in volatility behavior, while indeed present, may have been overstated in the past.

 

 

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