Economic Growth

October, Saturday 29th | 8:30-10:30hs

Contributed Session CS36

Room 234

 
Chair: Rudiger Ahrend, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
 
 

 

Financial Structure and the Sources of Growth: Comparing Latin America, East Asia, and OECD

 

 

 

Session: Economic Growth

 

 

Presenter

Felix Rioja, Georgia State University

 

 

Author(s)

Felix Rioja, Georgia State University

Valev Neven, Georgia State University

 

 

Sponsor

The LACEA-GDN Scholarship

 

 

 

 

This paper studies the effects of financial structure on the sources of economic growth. We find that as financial systems become relatively more stock market-oriented this has positive effects on productivity growth while bank-based systems have a stronger positive effect on capital accumulation. The positive effect of market-based financial structure on productivity growth is particularly strong in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) compared to other regions.

 

 

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Russia's Post-Crisis Growth - Where Did It Come From? Can It Last?

 

 

 

Session: Economic Growth

 

 

Presenter

Rudiger Ahrend, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

 

 

Author(s)

Rudiger Ahrend, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

 

 

 

 

This paper analyses in depth Russia’s recent growth and prospects for its continuation. It shows that the role of the private oil sector for recent growth has been severely underestimated, as official data - not accounting for transfer pricing - fail to reflect the importance of the hydrocarbon sector. It is argued that, though Russia is bound to remain a resource-dependent economy, barring major policy errors it would have the potential to sustain high growth rates over the medium term.

 

 

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The Under-Estimated Virtues of the Two-Sector AK Model

 

 

 

Session: Economic Growth

 

 

Presenter

Omar Licandro, European University Institute and Fundacion de Estudios de Economia Aplicada

 

 

Author(s)

Omar Licandro, European University Institute and Fundacion de Estudios de Economia Aplicada

Gabriel Felbermayr, European University Institute and Johannes Kepler Universität, Linz

 

 

 

 

This paper analyses some unnoticed predictions of the two-sector AK model. It generates the secular downward trend of the relative price of equipment investment and the rising real investment rate. It reconciles the empirical facts of trending real investment rates and stationary output growth. The model predicts a negative relation between GDP per capita and the price of equipment. A technology shock reproduces the main features of the productivity slowdown.

 

 

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A Simultaneous Equation Model of Economic Development and Income Inequality

 

 

 

Session: Economic Growth

 

 

Presenter

Sebastian Torres, University of Leicester

 

 

Author(s)

Sebastian Torres, University of Leicester

David Fielding, University of Otago, New Zealand

 

 

Sponsor

The American University of Paris Scholarship

 

 

 

 

The paper extends existing work on inequality and economic development by estimating a cross-country structural model that identifies bi-directional relationships between income inequality and other indicators of economic development. Overall, lower inequality is associated with improvements in other development indicators. The most striking feature of the structural model is the insight it provides into the reasons behind the negative “Africa dummy” in previous cross-country growth studies.

 

 

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A Reassessment of the Relationship Between Inequality and Growth: What Human Capital Inequality Data Say

 

 

 

Session: Economic Growth

 

 

Presenter

Amparo Castello-Climent, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid

 

 

Author(s)

Amparo Castello-Climent, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid

 

 

 

 

Whereas many theoretical models predict that inequality is harmful for growth, the cross-country empirical evidence that uses income inequality measures is not conclusive on this matter. This paper uses a new inequality indicator that measures human capital inequality and finds the empirical regularity that inequality is harmful for growth in both the long term and the short term. The negative relation is mainly due to a discouraging effect of inequality on the investment rates.

 

 

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Culture as the Inertial and Underlying Factor of Economic Development

 

 

 

Session: Economic Growth

 

 

Presenter

Gonzalo Alberto Castañeda Ramos, Universidad de las Américas, Puebla, Mexico

 

 

Author(s)

Gonzalo Alberto Castañeda Ramos, Universidad de las Américas, Puebla, Mexico

 

 

 

 

This paper analyzes economic development through a co-evolutionary process where formal institutions linked to the rule of law are transformed jointly with cultural values. This type of dynamic makes possible to attain multiple equilibriums and, hence, economic backwardness is explained by the presence of an ‘opportunistic’ culture that coexists in an environment where illegality prevails. By means of an evolutionary game theory model, it is shown that a low income per-capita scenario is very difficult to eradicate. This is the case because of the existence of a cultural inertia generated by the co-evolution itself, and because of the relevance that remote factors (socio-cultural and geographical) have on determining the probability that the economy can move following certain growth path.

 

 

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